POST-SEASON REVIEW OF 1996

TDG MONITORING &TMT OPERATIONAL DECISION-MAKING

1 October 1996, 0900-1600 hours, Custom House Room 118

Message Posted 7 October at 1330 hours (new draft on recovery plans differences)

Reminder: work meeting on the TMT 5-yr work plan tomorrow 8 Oct. 96 (see below)


TMT 5-YEAR WORK PLAN

TMT 5-YEAR WORK PLAN

GOALS AND OBJECTIVES

Draft/CAH.et.al/20SEP96/Rev1.26SEP96)

INTRODUCTION

This 5-year work plan was prepared by the Technical Management Team (TMT) at the request of the Steering Committee. It contains the following information that was specifically requested by the Steering Committee:

OVERVIEW OF TMT ROLE & RESPONSIBILITIES

The National Marine Fisheries Service's (NMFS) Biological Opinion (Opinion) on the operation of the Federal Columbia River Power System (FCRPS) and Juvenile Transportation Program in 1995 and Future Years calls for a Technical Management Team (TMT) to be established to advise the operating agencies on dam and reservoir operations to optimize passage conditions for juvenile and adult anadromous salmonids. The Opinion also calls for the TMT to develop a water management plan (Plan) by April 15 of each year based on the runoff forecast. This plan can be customized each year to address specific operational objectives that may be required in that year. The Plan will be able to address special requirements that have been approved through other processes such as the System Configuration Team (SCT), Anadromous Fish Evaluation Program (AFEP), the Dissolved Gas Team (DGT), or other research and monitoring groups.

The TMT is not a policy making group. Its goal is to implement the Biological Opinion, not to interpret the Biological Opinion. TMT recommendations shall be made to the Corps of Engineers (Corps) and Bureau of Reclamation (Reclamation), which have authority to operate the Federal Columbia River Power System (FCRPS) projects, and to the Corps and Bonneville Power Administration (BPA), which have the authority to make agreements with Canada regarding storage in Canada. Recommendations of the TMT shall be made by consensus. If consensus is not reached, issues will be elevated to the Implementation Team.

The TMT will be a year-round technical body with three periods of operation: pre-season-planning, in-season management, and post-season review. The pre-season planning will consist of refining the annual Water Management Plan and coordinating fall and winter reservoir operations to achieve the prescribed levels of confidence of reservoir refill. The Corps will coordinate with the TMT regarding operational decisions outside the fish migration period that could affect anadromous fish. In-season management will be conducted during the anadromous fish migration season; when the TMT will meet weekly or as often as necessary to provide optimum fish passage conditions. TMT members will reconvene at the end of the fish migration to provide an auto-critique of the operations implemented during the previous season, and to formulate an improved process for the next year's operation.

The cyclical working process described above will be implemented during each of the next five years covered under this work plan. Minor procedural changes will be introduced as needed, if and when circumstances or new information warrant.

TMT DECISION BASE

Consistent with provisions of the TMT Guidelines and Water Management Plan, the TMT decision process will be based on all or any applicable parameters and/or actions listed below:

COMPARISON MATRIX TO MAJOR SALMON RECOVERY PLANS

Table 1 contains a condensed table summarizing the specifics of each of the three plans on each reservoir for the short-term. For each measure, proper references to the plan involved are also shown. A description of the measures listed, where and how they differ, and the basis for the differences, follows.

Snake River Operations

Snake River flow targets: Both the Council's 1994 fish and wildlife program and 1995 NMFS biological opinion identify Snake River flow targets at Lower Granite Dam. NMFS flow targets range from 85 up to 100 Kcfs during the spring and between 50 to 55 Kcfs during July and August. The Council's sliding scale flow equivalent targets range from 85 to 140 Kcfs during the spring period and 50 Kcfs during July, with no flow target in August. The Tribal Restoration Plan has no specific flow targets for the Snake River, instead relying on the volumes identified below to augment flows for salmon.

Lower Snake Drawdowns: One of the major differences in the three major salmon recovery plans is that both the Council's 1994 fish and wildlife program and the 1995 tribal restoration plan call for a phased implementation of drawdown actions in the Snake River over the next five years, whereas the 1995 NMFS biological opinion calls for a minimum operating pool (MOP) operation at all four lower Snake projects from mid-April through August. NMFS calls for completion of feasibility studies related to drawdown actions with a regional decision made in 1999 as to whether and how much to lower mainstem reservoirs. The Council's fish and wildlife program specifies that, contingent on needed fish passage modifications and development of a mitigation plan, Lower Granite reservoir is to be drawn down 43 feet to near spillway crest elevation 690 feet beginning in the spring of 1996, with Little Goose lowered a similar amount beginning in spring 1999. The tribal plan calls for the Lower Granite project to be lowered to elevation 710 feet beginning in spring 1997. Both the Council program and the tribal plan call for MOP operation during the spring and summer migration periods at Lower Monumental and Ice Harbor projects in the short-term and until a regional decision is made concerning drawdown, although the tribal plan calls for the MOP operation to extend through the end of October.

Upper Snake Basin water: All three plans specify at least 427 Kaf be provided from the upper Snake Basin for salmon flow augmentation. A difference in the three major salmon recovery plans is that both the Council's 1994 fish and wildlife program and the 1995 tribal restoration plan call for more water to be provided from willing sellers in the upper Snake Basin. The Council's program takes a phased approach: in 1996, an additional 500 Kaf is to be found and provided; and in 1998, another 500 Kaf is to be provided for a total volume of 1.427 Maf. The tribal plan calls for a volume of between 1 and 3 million acre-feet from the upper Snake Basin to be used for salmon flows.

Brownlee: The NMFS biological opinion and the Council's program have identical operations specified for Idaho Power Company's Brownlee project. Both plans call for a total draft of 347 Kaf from Brownlee; 110 Kaf in the spring period and another 237 Kaf in the summer months. The tribal plan calls for Idaho Power to provide up to 450 Kaf during the spring and summer migration periods.

Dworshak: Both the NMFS biological opinion and the 1995 Tribal Plan call for up to 1.5 Maf be provided from Dworshak during the spring migration, whereas the Council's program specifies a volume of up to 1.0 Maf in the spring. During the summer migration, the tribal plan requires another 1.0 Maf volume be provided from Dworshak. Although both the Council program and the NMFS biological opinion contain a draft limit of 1520 feet for Dworshak, the Council's program results in a greater volume contribution from the project during the summer months than the NMFS plan for several reasons: 1) the Council's program does not draft Dworshak as deeply as the NMFS plan during the spring months and thus is better able to refill from spring operations; and 2) the Council's program calls for refill during August and specifies an additional 200 Kaf be provided in September for Snake River water temperature control operations.

Columbia River Operations

Lower Columbia River flow targets: Both the Council's fish and wildlife program and the tribal plan specify lower Columbia River flow targets at The Dalles Dam, while the NMFS biological opinion specifies flow targets at McNary Dam. NMFS flow targets range from 200 to 260 Kcfs during the spring and 200 Kcfs during July and August. The Council's sliding scale flow equivalent targets range from 170 to 300 Kcfs during the spring period, 200 Kcfs in July, 160 Kcfs in August and 120 Kcfs in September. The Tribal Restoration Plan has flow targets ranging from 220 to 300 Kcfs in the spring period, with the same flow targets as the Council during the summer months and September.

Arrow and Canadian Projects: Both the Council's program and the NMFS biological opinion call for a portion of the total operational storage volume to be stored and released from the Arrow project in British Columbia. NMFS specifies a volume of up to 1 Maf in Arrow, while the Council's program does not specify how much of the 4 Maf total volume should be stored in particular projects. The tribal plan, on the other hand, calls for the use of Arrow, Mica and Duncan projects, as necessary, to help meet flow targets at The Dalles Dam.

Libby and Hungry Horse: Both the Council program and the NMFS biological opinion specify that both of these projects operate near upper rule curve to store a portion of the operational volume for salmon flows. Also, both programs call for Libby to provide necessary sturgeon flows according to the USFWS biological opinion on endangered white sturgeon. A major difference is the Council's program calls for both projects to be operated to integrated rule curves year-round, which is intended to provide some storage for salmon and sturgeon flows while balancing impacts to resident fish and wildlife. NMFS biological opinion, on the other hand, establishes maximum summer draft limits of 20 feet at each project for salmon flows. The tribal plan calls for both projects to be drafted as necessary to meet salmon flow targets at The Dalles Dam, with no draft limits or protections for resident fish specified.

Albeni Falls: The Council program is the only plan that calls for phased-in draft limits at Albeni Falls project on the Pend Oreille River. By 1998, the minimum elevation at the project is 2056 feet.

Grand Coulee: Both the Council program and the NMFS biological opinion specify that Grand Coulee and FDR Lake should operate near its upper rule curve to store a portion of the operational volume for salmon flows. A major difference is the Council's program calls for Grand Coulee project to be operated to specified minimum draft limits and water retention times, which are intended to provide some storage for salmon flows while balancing impacts to resident fish and wildlife. NMFS biological opinion, on the other hand, establishes a maximum summer draft limit of 10 feet at Grand Coulee project for salmon flows. The tribal plan calls for Grand Coulee to be drafted as necessary to meet salmon flow targets at The Dalles Dam, with no draft limits or protections for resident fish specified.

Priest Rapids/Vernita Bar Flows: Both the Council program and the tribal plan comply with Vernita Bar minimum flow requirements for fall chinook spawning, incubation and emergence, as specified in a FERC settlement agreement. The NMFS biological opinion has no such flow requirement.

John Day Drawdown: All three salmon restoration plans would have John Day reservoir operated year-round near its minimum operating pool level, or elevation 257 feet, beginning in 1996, contingent upon development of a mitigation plan.

Spill

All three salmon restoration plans call for fish spill levels to obtain an 80 percent fish passage efficiency at each mainstem project. In the NMFS biological opinion, however, spill at collector/transport projects is reduced or eliminated during low flow conditions to increase the proportion of fish transported. In both the NMFS plan and the Council program, fish spill may also be reduced when 12-hour average TDG levels exceed 120 percent saturation at the tailrace monitor below each mainstem dam, or as limited by state water quality standards. In the tribal plan, spill may be reduced when the 12-hour average TDG levels exceed 125-130 percent saturation in the tailrace. Spill periods for both the NMFS biological opinion and Council program generally range from mid-April through August 31, except for the Council program in the Snake River, which curtails spill on July 31. Spill periods are not specified in the tribal plan.

Smolt transportation

The Council program encourages an interim strategy that substantially reduces the number of juvenile fish transported (under a spread-the-risk approach) and calls for a rigorous evaluation of transportation survival versus inriver survival and returns to adult spawners. The NMFS biological opinion calls for transportation of all fish collected at the lower Snake River collector projects, subject to spill operations specified above and unless the TMT recommends otherwise or transport operations are out of criteria. Spill at Snake River collector projects in average and above water years effectively decreases the number of juvenile fish that can be collected and transported. Spring migrants at McNary Dam should be returned to the river to facilitate the evaluation of transportation survival versus inriver survival. The NMFS plan calls for maximum transportation of fall chinook, since spill is not recommended at any of the 4 collector projects during the summer months. Under the tribal plan, mass transportation of juvenile salmon using barges and trucks would be halted at all mainstem Snake and Columbia river dams.

MAJOR ISSUES CONFRONTING TMT

Major issues currently confronting the TMT are listed below. A short write-up describes the essence of the issues and how they came up, followed by a short discussion. Some of the issues are technical in nature, others are more distinctly policy-related. A third group of issues lies somewhere in between, due in part to the lack of conclusive information. At this time, as directed by the Steering Committee, no attempts are made to propose and/or suggest any resolution process or procedure.

Policy Issues

1. Issue: Definition of, and procedures for emergencies

Discussion: -add text-

2. Issue: Mitigation for emergencies

Discussion: -add text-

3. Issue: Decision-making and conflict resolution

Discussion: -add text-

4. Issue: Start/End Dates of operation

Discussion: -add text-

System/Project Operations Issues

1. Issue: Upstream storage reservoir contributions for salmon flows

Discussion: -add text-

2. Issue: Canadian operations (Arrow swap, IJC)

Discussion: -add text-

3. Issue: Flood control (VAR Q)

Discussion: -add text-

4. Issue: Upper Snake (Idaho Plan, temperature)

Discussion: -add text-

5. Issue: Pending ISAB report on Montana reservoirs

Discussion: -add text-

6. Issue: Transportation limits

Discussion: -add text-

7. Issue: Gas management

Discussion: -add text-

8. Issue: Maintenance scheduling

Discussion: -add text-

9. Issue: Unit operation flexibility (1%)

Discussion: -add text-

10. Issue: Special operational requirements for research

Discussion: -add text-

11. Issue: Use of PIT tag forecaster or other methodology

Discussion: -add text-

BEYOND 1999

The NMFS's Biological Opinion on the "Reinitiation of Consultation of 1994-1998 Operation of the Federal Columbia River Power System and Juvenile Transportation Program in 1995 and Future Years" shall be the guidelines for operations through the year 1999. At the end of the 1999 season, the operational plan may be somewhat different than the current Biological Opinion's plan. Although some of the operations may be different, there will still be a need for an operational team to perform the day-to-day coordinated management of the Columbia River system. This team should consist of the same members including the federal operating agencies, and sovereign states and tribes. Many of the current processes will remain in place, such as pre-season planning, in-season management, and post-season review. The overriding goal will remain the same: to implement the objectives that are in place in the region.

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NOTE: PREPARATORY MEETINGS. The following meetings have been scheduled to discuss the TMT 5-year Work Plan:

DateTime Location
25 September0900-1130 Emerg.Ops.Mgmt, next to RCC
8 October 19960900-1130 -ditto-
22 October 19960900-1130 Room 118
6 November 19960900-1130 Room 118

POC: Cindy Henriksen (503/326-3745) or Bolyvong Tanovan (503/326-3764)

Table 1. Comparison of the Three Major Salmon Recovery Plans' River Operations Measures

(Short-Term Actions)

Project
NMFS' 1995 Biological Opinion
Council's 1994 Fish & Wildlife Program
1995 Tribal Spirit of the Salmon Restoration Plan
Upper Snake BasinProvide 427 Kaf for flows at LWG Dam In '95, 427 Kaf for flows at LWG Dam

In '96, provide add'l. 500 Kaf

In '98, provide another 500 Kaf

Use 1 to 3 Maf for Snake River flows
Brownlee Jan-Apr15: shift system FC to Coulee

May: up to 110 Kaf (2,069'); June: pass inflow; July: up to 137 Kaf (2,067') ; Aug: pass inflow; Sept: 100 Kaf (2,059')

Jan-Apr15: shift system FC to Coulee

Apr16-30: up to 110 Kaf (2,069')

May: up to 110 Kaf (2,069'); June: pass inflow

July: up to 137 Kaf (2,067') ;

Aug: pass inflow; Sept: 100 Kaf (2,059')

Provide 450 Kaf for spring and summer Snake River flows
Dworshak Sep-Apr15: flood control oper, shift system FC to Coulee

Apr16-June: up to 1.5 Maf; July-Aug: draft limit 1,520' (80')

Sep-Apr15: flood control oper, shift system FC to Coulee

Apr16-June: up to 1.0 Maf; July: draft limit 1,520' (80'); Aug: refill; Sept: 200 Kaf

Spring: 1.5 Maf for Snake River flows

Summer: 1.0 Maf for Snake River flows

Lower GraniteApr16-Aug: operate near MOP (733')

Flow Targets:

Apr16-June: 85-100 Kcfs;

July-Aug: 50-55 Kcfs

Apr16-Jun15: operate near elev. 690'

Jun16-Aug: operate near MOP

Flow Targets:

Apr16-June: 85-140 Kcfs equivalent

July: 50 Kcfs equivalent

All year: operate near elev. 710' beginning in '97

Flow Targets:

No specific targets -- release volumes identified above to augment flows.

Little Goose Apr16-Aug: operate near MOP (633') Apr16-Jun15: In 1996-98, near MOP

Starting in '99, operate near elev. 590'

Jun16-Aug: near MOP

Apr15-Oct31: operate near MOP
Lower MonumentalApr16-Aug: operate near MOP (537') Apr16-Aug: operate near MOP Apr15-Oct31: operate near MOP
Ice Harbor Apr16-Aug: operate near MOP (437') Apr16-Aug: operate near MOP Apr15-Oct31: operate near MOP

Table 1 (continued)

Project
NMFS' 1995 Biological Opinion
Council's 1994 Fish &Wildlife Program
1995 Tribal Spirit of the Salmon Restoration Plan
Arrow Jan-Apr15: store up to 1 Maf of

"operational" volume

Jan-Apr15: store "operational" volume

(Total of 4 Maf in US and BC projects.)

Use as necessary for flow targets at The Dalles Dam. (Also use Mica and Duncan, if nec.)
Libby Jan-Apr15: flood control operation

May-July: Provide sturgeon flows

Apr16-May: draft limit 2,420' (39')

June-Aug: draft limit 2,439' (20')

Jan-Apr15: store "operational" volume

Operate to integrated rule curve (IRC) draft limits year-round.

May-July: Provide sturgeon flows

Use as necessary for flow targets at The Dalles Dam.

Make add'l. Water available in better than average runoff years.

Hungry Horse Sep-Apr15: flood control oper, Apr16-Aug: draft limit 3,540' (20'), max flow 13 Kcfs. All Year: Operate to integrated rule curve draft limits Use as nec. for flow targets at The Dalles. Add'l water available in better than average runoff years.
Albeni Falls In 1996, minimum elevation 2,054'

In 1997, minimum elevation 2,055'

In 1998, minimum elevation 2,056'

Grand CouleeJan-Apr15: flood control operation

June-Aug: draft limit 1,280' (10')

Jan-Apr15: store "operational" volume Minimum draft limits:

Jan: 1,270' ; Feb: 1,260'

Mar-Apr15: 1,250'; Apr16-30: 1,255'

May: 1,265'; Jun-Aug: 1,280'

Maximum fill limits:

June-Aug: 1,288' /1,283' alternate

Sep-Dec: 1,288'

Use as necessary to meet flow targets at The Dalles
Priest Rapids

Vernita Bar

NoneComply w/ Vernita Bar min flow plan

(Dec-May: 70 Kcfs minimum flow)

Dec-May: 55 Kcfs minimum flow
John DayAll year: near MIP (elev. 263') All year: near MOP (elev. 257') All year: near MOP (elev. 257')
The Dalles/ McNary

Flow Targets

Apr16-Apr30: 200-230 Kcfs

May-June: 220-260

July: 200; Aug: 200

Apr16-Apr30: 170 Kcfs

May-June: 180-300

July: 200 ; Aug: 160

Apr16-Jun15: 220-300 Kcfs

Jun16-Jun30: 200-250 Kcfs

July: 200 Kcfs ; Aug: 160 Kcfs

Sep: 120 Kcfs

SpillApr15-Aug 31: 80% FPE; 120% gas cap Snake River -- Apr15-July 31:

Columbia R -- May-Aug 31:

80% FPE w/120% gas cap

Apr15-Aug 31: 80% FPE

125-130% gas cap